Institutional macro tool built by a CFA Charterholder and back-test proven

Navigate the Macro Investing Cycle with a Systematic Map.

LOGIC Macro Regime converts sophisticated macro strategy into a systematic positioning tool. Trusted by institutional investors.

Stop guessing, navigate. Know where we are in the cycle, what regime is in play, and how to strategically position portfolio allocation and risk.

Delivered as a clear Monthly Macro Map.

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✔ Only $8.99 USD/month ✔ Secure Stripe checkout ✔ Cancel anytime

Example Monthly Macro Map sent to subscribers before the month begins.

Monthly Macro Map preview
Download December 2025 Sample MMM

Real previously issued Monthly Macro Map • For evaluation purposes

LOGIC Framework: your macro map

The framework

Short explainer video: How LOGIC Macro Regime works

L
Liquidity Cycle
How abundant – or scarce – money is across the global financial system. The tide that lifts (or drops) all boats.
O
Other Financial Conditions
US dollar trends, credit spreads and policy shifts that tighten or loosen the channel your portfolio sails through.
G
Growth Cycle
Whether global economic activity is accelerating or slowing – the strength of the current beneath asset prices.
I
Inflation Cycle
The direction of prices that quietly changes which assets surf and which sink.
C
Capital Positioning
How investors are actually positioned – where leverage, crowding and dry powder sit on the deck.

LOGIC Macro Regime distills nearly two decades of institutional macro and investment management experience into a simple framework to effectively read macro and market signals.

Proprietary indicators anchored on the Liquidity Cycle, Other Financial Conditions and Capital Positioning ("LOC" of LOGIC) are analyzed with key global leading variables – the US Dollar, US Government Interest Payments, the Proportion of Central Banks Cutting Rates, the OECD CLI Diffusion Index and the China Credit Impulse Index to identify if there are headwinds or tailwinds to the risk bias. The Growth Cycle and Inflation Cycle ("GI" of LOGIC) segment the Macro Regime – the sea conditions.

The result is a Monthly Macro Map that provides investors a strategic, macro overlay for portfolio management decisions to help align with assets, sectors and style factors most likely to outperform. Its designed to keep savvy investors disciplined, objective and systematic as they navigate through macro waters. The models and seven switch indicators behind LOGIC are proprietary – you get the signal, not the wiring.

Macro Regimes: the four seas

REGIMES + RISK SCORE

Each Macro Regime is defined by the acceleration ↑ or deceleration ↓ of the Growth (G) and Inflation (I) cycles. Those simple directions segment the macro ocean into four distinct seas.

Goldilocks G↑•I↓
Growth accelerating, inflation decelerating. Historically the smoothest sailing for risk assets.
Reflation G↑•I↑
Growth and inflation both pick up as credit and policy support amplify the business cycle and push the tide higher.
Deflation G↓•I↓
Growth and inflation both slowing. Often where capital hides in quality, duration and defense while the storm passes.
Inflation G↓•I↑
Growth decelerating while inflation runs hot. Choppier waters, especially when liquidity is tightening and the dollar is strong.

0–7 Risk Bias Score

Each of the seven proprietary indicators is a switch: 1 for favorable, 0 for hostile. Add them up to a score from 0–7. If 4 or more switches are on, the regime is Risk-On. If 3 or fewer, it’s Risk-Off:

0 — seas hostile 7 — seas inviting
Score: 4 / 7 Risk-On

From September 2011 to November 2025, the S&P 500’s average monthly total return in Risk-On regimes has been more than double that in Risk-Off regimes with much less volatility. Historically, higher scores have corresponded to stronger performance for risk assets.

What tends to outperform / underperform in each regime?

Style factors & sectors

Below is a list of how major equity style factors, sectors and fixed income categories have tended to behave in each LOGIC Macro Regime. Historical tendencies only – not a guarantee of future results and not investment advice.

GOLDILOCKS
Top Equity Style Factors
  • High Beta
  • Small Caps
  • Mega Cap Growth
  • Cyclicals
  • Mid Caps
Bottom Equity Style Factors
  • Low Beta
  • Defensives
  • Size
  • Quality
  • Dividends
Top Equity Sectors
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Financials
  • Technology
  • Materials
  • Industrials
Bottom Equity Sectors
  • Utilities
  • Communication Services
  • Real Estate
  • Consumer Staples
  • Health Care
Top Fixed Income Sectors
  • Business Development Co. Loans
  • Convertibles
  • High Yield Credit
  • Emerging Markets $ Debt
  • Preferreds
Bottom Fixed Income Sectors
  • Long Duration Bonds 10yr+
  • 0–5yr TIPS
  • Mid Duration Bonds 2-10yr
  • Mortgage Backed Securities
  • 5–10yr TIPS
REFLATION
Top Equity Style Factors
  • Mega Cap Growth
  • High Beta
  • Cyclicals
  • Momentum
  • Small Caps
Bottom Equity Style Factors
  • Low Beta
  • Dividends
  • Defensives
  • Quality
  • Large Caps
Top Equity Sectors
  • Technology
  • Industrials
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Financials
  • Energy
Bottom Equity Sectors
  • Real Estate
  • Consumer Staples
  • Utilities
  • Communication Services
  • Health Care
Top Fixed Income Sectors
  • Business Development Co. Loans
  • Convertibles
  • Preferreds
  • High Yield Credit
  • Emerging Markets Local Currency
Bottom Fixed Income Sectors
  • Long Duration Bonds 10yr+
  • Mid Duration Bonds 2-10yr
  • Investment Grade Credit
  • Mortgage Backed Securities
  • Short Rates
INFLATION
Top Equity Style Factors
  • Low Beta
  • Mega Cap Growth
  • Quality
  • Dividends
  • Defensives
Bottom Equity Style Factors
  • High Beta
  • Small Caps
  • Cyclicals
  • Value
  • Mid Caps
Top Equity Sectors
  • Utilities
  • Health Care
  • Real Estate
  • Consumer Staples
  • Communication Services
Bottom Equity Sectors
  • Energy
  • Materials
  • Financials
  • Industrials
  • Consumer Discretionary
Top Fixed Income Sectors
  • Long Duration Bonds 10yr+
  • Emerging Markets $ Debt
  • 5–10yr TIPS
  • Mid Duration Bonds 2-10yr
  • Investment Grade Credit
Bottom Fixed Income Sectors
  • Business Development Co. Loans
  • Convertibles
  • High Yield Credit
  • Mortgage Backed Securities
  • Leveraged Loans
DEFLATION
Top Equity Style Factors
  • Dividends
  • Low Beta
  • Quality
  • Defensives
  • Growth
Bottom Equity Style Factors
  • High Beta
  • Cyclicals
  • Value
  • Small Caps
  • Mid Caps
Top Equity Sectors
  • Real Estate
  • Health Care
  • Consumer Staples
  • Utilities
  • Consumer Discretionary
Bottom Equity Sectors
  • Financials
  • Industrials
  • Technology
  • Communication Services
  • Energy
Top Fixed Income Sectors
  • Long Duration Bonds 10yr+
  • Mid Duration Bonds 2-10yr
  • Investment Grade Credit
  • Mortgage Backed Securities
  • Short Rates
Bottom Fixed Income Sectors
  • Preferreds
  • Business Development Co. Loans
  • Leveraged Loans
  • High Yield Credit
  • Emerging Markets Local Currency

One simple subscription. That’s it.

Subscribe

LOGIC Macro Regime is intentionally minimal. One signal, once a month, focused on what actually matters for portfolio performance: where financial markets are in the macro cycle and what each of the next 6 months will look like.

What paid subscribers receive each month

1. Current LOGIC Macro Regime Classification of the macro sea (Goldilocks / Reflation / Inflation / Deflation), anchored in the Growth and Inflation cycles.
2. 0–7 Risk Bias Score Aggregated on/off switches across the seven proprietary indicators, summarizing whether the upcoming month's conditions are biased towards Risk-On or Risk-Off.
3. 6-month forward outlook A forward view on where the cycle is likely heading, including a 3 & 6-month summary of expected macro conditions.
4. Full historical matrix History of monthly LOGIC Macro Regimes and Risk Bias Scores back to September 2011, so you can test how different assets and style factors behaved through past cycles.

No courses, no short-term trade alerts. Just a clear Monthly Macro Map to help you prepare whether to drop anchor, batten down the hatches, or stay the course. Embark on your macro voyage today.

FAQ

Common questions
What is LOGIC Macro Regime?

LOGIC Macro Regime is a quantitative and systematic framework that translates institutional macro research into a simple monthly positioning tool. It summarizes where we are in the macro cycle, what regime is in play, and what the next 6 months likely look like.

What do I receive each month?

You receive the Monthly Macro Map (Excel) including: (1) the current LOGIC Macro Regime (Goldilocks / Reflation / Inflation / Deflation), (2) the 0–7 Risk Bias Score, (3) a 6-month forward outlook, and (4) the updated historical matrix back to September 2011.

How often is it updated?

Once per month. LOGIC is designed to be slow-moving and systematic - it’s a strategic macro overlay, not a day-trading signal.

What is the 0–7 Risk Bias Score?

The Risk Bias Score aggregates seven proprietary on/off indicators into a single score from 0–7. Higher scores indicate more supportive macro conditions for risk assets. If 4 or more switches are on, the bias is Risk-On; if 3 or fewer, Risk-Off.

Is this investment advice?

No. LOGIC Macro Regime is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Your subscription is managed securely through Stripe, and you can cancel at any time.

How do I contact you or request a sample?

Click on the "Download December 2025 Sample MMM" button above on the site or email monthlymacromap@logicmacroregime.com and we’ll help you out.

Contact Us

Questions & inquiries

Questions or to find out more about LOGIC Macro Regime. Email: monthlymacromap@logicmacroregime.com

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