A synthesized view of how key macro variables interact.
LOGIC Macro Regime • March 5, 2026
Ahoy,
LOGIC Macro Regime translates institutional macro research into a systematic positioning tool.
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Global credit and money supply continue to expand at a modest pace.
The Federal Reserve is purchasing $40B/month of Treasury Bills, adding liquidity.
The tide of money remains supportive for risk assets.
Central banks are cutting rates, credit spreads are contained, and the U.S. dollar has weakened.
This aligns with a Risk-On backdrop.
GDPNow suggests U.S. growth above 5%.
Over 88% of OECD leading indicators are improving.
This signals global growth re-acceleration.
The rate of change is declining.
Energy and shelter costs are falling, reinforcing disinflation.
Positioning is not crowded.
Capital is still being deployed gradually, not aggressively.
This is a lagged sample report provided before the month began.