LOGIC Macro Regime Blog Archive
A running archive of featured special topics and Monthly Macro Map posts published with a one-month lag. Subscribers receive this insight before the month begins, giving them time to understand what may be ahead and position portfolios accordingly.
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Featured topics and archive posts link to the full write-ups.
Featured special topics
Editorial
July 31, 2026
Returns Are Only Half the Story: What 52 Investments Reveal Across Eight Macro Environments
See how 52 investments performed across eight macro environments and why the raw-return winner is not always the risk-adjusted winner.
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July 3, 2026
Beyond the Noise: Why More Economic Data is Making You a Worse Investor
Learn why high-frequency economic data can make investors more reactive, and how a systematic macro regime framework helps separate signal from noise.
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June 11, 2026
The Liquidity Solvency: Utilizing the LOGIC Macro Regime Framework to Map the Next 6 Months of Market Regime
A systematic macro framework for mapping the next six months of market regime, risk bias, liquidity, growth, inflation, and portfolio positioning.
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June 8, 2026
The Sovereign Liquidity Engine: Why Mathematical Necessity Dictates the Next Market Regime
Rising US government interest payments may be one of the most underappreciated leading indicators for future liquidity, market regimes, and risk assets.
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June 1, 2026
Why the "Global Easing Cycle" is the Most Powerful Signal You're Not Tracking
Discover why the percentage of global central banks cutting rates is one of the most powerful leading indicators for liquidity, financial conditions, growth, and risk assets.
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May 25, 2026
The Trade Everyone Already Owns: Why Being Right is Not Enough in Macro Investing
You can be completely right about the macro outlook and still lose money if everyone else got there first. Learn why capital positioning matters before entering a crowded trade.
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May 19, 2026
The Global Inflation Cycle Explained
Inflation doesn't begin when CPI rises. Learn how leading indicators like Gold/Copper, TIPS, PPI and macro regimes help investors anticipate inflation turns before headlines catch up.
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May 12, 2026
The Global Growth Cycle Explained
Markets move long before GDP headlines confirm the trend. Understand how leading indicators help predict earnings, macro regimes, and market leadership.
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May 6, 2026
The Channel Matters: Understanding Other Financial Conditions
Liquidity may fuel markets, but financial conditions determine whether that liquidity can actually flow through the economy and asset prices.
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April 30, 2026
The Global Liquidity Cycle Explained
Markets don't rise on earnings - they rise on liquidity. Understand how money creation flows through the system and drives asset prices.
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April 16, 2026
Predicting Market Shifts Using Systematic Macro Indicators
Most investors chase information. The real edge comes from understanding the macro environment - and positioning before it shifts.
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April 8, 2026
The Market's Biggest Misread: A Falling Dollar Is Bullish
A weaker dollar isn't a sign of weakness. It's a global liquidity injection that boosts earnings, eases financial conditions, and fuels risk assets.
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April 1, 2026
Most Portfolios Aren't Built for “Risk-Off.” That's the Problem.
Most portfolios are built for things continuing to work. The real problem is not being wrong on a stock - it's being wrong on the regime.
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March 27, 2026
The Hidden Driver of Global Liquidity: Understanding China's Credit Impulse
One of the most important forces in the global economy doesn't come from the US Federal Reserve or the ECB. It comes from China.
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March 6, 2026
The OECD CLI Diffusion Index: A Key Signal for Global Growth Turns
One of the simplest but most important questions in macro investing is whether global growth is accelerating or slowing. The OECD CLI Diffusion Index helps answer it early.
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